I am in the minority. I am one of those who is not sold on Indiana University's chances...yet. I have seen too much to be sold yet-- too much national acclaim, too much crowning of Indiana before a game was played, and too much inconsistency.
How much can a team with a great balance of seniors and underclass talent be inconsistent? Quite a bit... I saw a team who should have blown Illinois out of the building take their foot off the gas in the quarterfinal. I saw a team whose Big Ten outright championship depended on missed free throws and the luck of a ball rolling off the rim. I saw a team who showed its Achilles heel large and loud in the loss to Wisconsin. That Achilles heel? Slow-down teams who play defense-- ironically, the style former coach Bob Knight loved. Finally, I agree with ESPN's Colin Cowherd-- the Big Ten is a bit overrated this year. The Mountain West was the overall Number 1 conference in RPI, and the Big East may have been the Big Ten's equal this year.
Now, all that said, can Indiana get to the Final Four? Yes-- but with a few "if's." IF the REAL Jordan Hulls stands up...and he didn't in the Big Ten tournament. IF Cody Zeller stands up and gives Indiana the inside presence they need. IF indiana reduces turnovers, and IF Indiana gets favorable matchups. And finally, IF Indiana gets bench play from 7 on down the line-- and that means Jeremy Hollowell, Hanner Perea, Remy Abell, and Mo Creek.
All that said, Indiana is still in my bracket Final Four. Homer prediction? Perhaps. But, this team has a load of talent, and this program did it before. In 1992, an Indiana team with a little less talent swooned at the end of the year, regrouped, and reached the Final Four before losing in the final seconds to eventual national champ Duke. The setup is too good for it not to happen again-- and this IU team is more talented that that one. Finally, that Sweet 16 run last year set them up for this run... IF Indiana doesn't read how good it is supposed to be, and actually PROVES it.
That's my take... I'm Tom Lee.