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In flap over S. Carolina law, old tensions and a campaign issue

In flap over S. Carolina law, old tensions and a campaign issue


By Andy Sullivan COLUMBIA, South Carolina (Reuters) - The state that fired the first shot in the Civil War is once again battling the U.S. government in a racially charged conflict that is drawing ...
Divers suspend search of capsized Italy liner

Divers suspend search of capsized Italy liner


By Steve Scherer and Gabriele Pileri GIGLIO, Italy (Reuters) - Divers searching the capsized Italian cruise liner Costa Concordia suspended work on Wednesday after the vast wreck shifted slightly but officials said they are ...
Italy ship search suspended after hulk moves-officials

Italy ship search suspended after hulk moves-officials


GIGLIO, Italy (Reuters) - Italian divers suspended their search of the capsized cruise liner Costa Concordia after the vessel shifted slightly on its resting place near the Tuscan island of Giglio, officials said on Wednesday. ...

Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Director Douglas Elmendorf speaks at a news conference to release the CBO's annual "Budget and Economic Outlook" report on Capitol Hill in Washington February 5, 2013. REUTERS/Yuri Gripas

Deficit to shrink slightly, growth to slow this year: CBO
Deficit to shrink slightly, growth to slow this year: CBO
Posted : Tuesday, 05 February 2013 01:15PM

By David Lawder

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The fiscal 2013 budget deficit will dip to $845 billion after four straight years of $1 trillion-plus deficits, the Congressional Budget Office said on Tuesday, largely because of higher taxes now being paid by wealthy Americans.

The CBO analysis, which will feed into Congress' bitter debate over deficit-reduction plans, assumes that $85 billion in automatic spending cuts will launch as scheduled on March 1.

It said the fiscal tightening from higher taxes and this lower spending will slow economic growth to an anemic 1.4 percent by the end of 2013, causing the unemployment rate to edge back higher.

In the New Year's deal to avert the "fiscal cliff," tax rates on income above $450,000 for couples were allowed to return to their pre-2001 levels. But the automatic spending cuts were only delayed for two months until March 1.

The economy will start to rebound in 2014 and fill federal coffers at a faster pace, according to the non-partisan congressional budget referee.

Even if Congress takes no further actions to cut spending or raise tax revenue, deficits will continue to shrink, reaching $616 billion in fiscal 2014 and $430 billion in fiscal 2015. The 2015 gap would be equivalent to 2.4 percent of U.S. gross domestic product at that time, a level that many economists view as sustainable.

But deficits rise steadily from mid-decade, nearing $1 trillion again by 2023, according to the forecast. The 10-year cumulative deficit is forecast at $6.958 trillion.

"Deficits are projected to increase later in the coming decade, however, because of the pressures of an aging population, rising health care costs, an expansion of federal subsidies for health insurance, and growing interest payments on federal debt," the CBO said in the report.

CBO warned that U.S. debt held by the public also would continue to mount, reaching 77 percent of GDP by 2023 and rising further. This will limit lawmakers' flexibility in dealing with economic slowdowns and other challenges.

"Such a large debt would increase the risk of a financial crisis, during which investors would lose so much confidence in the government's ability to manage its budget that the government would be unable to borrow at affordable rates," the CBO said.

(Reporting by David Lawder; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)

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